Peru protests show broad impact of Putin’s war

The fuel price hike originally sparked the protests, which began last week, but quickly escalated into large anti-government demonstrations with rallies and road closures.

By Wednesday, at least six people were reported killed during days of protests, according to Peruvian authorities, as officials called for calm and struggled to contain the situation. Protesters are still blocking at least nine major roads in the country.

Late on Monday, President Pedro Castillo declared a state of emergency and imposed a curfew on the capital, but retracted and withdrew the curfew order on Tuesday afternoon as hundreds of protesters who ignored the measure took to the streets of Lima to demand his resignation.

“Beru is not having a good moment,” Castillo said Tuesday, after leaving a meeting with deputies, “but we have to solve it with the state authorities.”

A few streets away, riot police used tear gas to break up protests and protesters threw stones, injuring at least 11 people in the clashes.

Why Peru?

Peru is not new to political turmoil. Over the past five years, the country has had five presidents, including one who was removed from office amid street protests. Castillo himself has already faced — and survived — two impeachment votes since taking office in July.

Last year, Castillo won the presidency On the lowest margins, Congress faced the opposition, which limited its political capital and ability to operate.

But while Peru has been a fertile ground for protests in recent years, this crisis has erupted as a direct result of the war in Ukraine.

Police officers in Lima stand in front of a burning peddler's building during a demonstration against Peruvian President Pedro Castillo. Protests over fuel and fertilizer price hikes sparked by the conflict in Ukraine began, but have widened in scope.

The Long Consequences of Putin’s War

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – and the consequent decision by world leaders to isolate Russia from global oil markets – sent oil prices soaring.

And for Peru, the impact was particularly severe.

Compared to other countries in the region, such as Argentina or Venezuela, Peru imports most of its oil. That has made it more vulnerable to the recent rally, hitting the economy just as it was recovering from the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and lockdowns.

as a result of, Inflation in Peru in March was the highest in 26 years, according to the country’s statistics institute. The sector most exposed was food and fuel, with prices up 9.54% from last year, Mention of the Central Bank of Peru.

With prices rising so quickly, it wasn’t long before protests started spreading across the country. On March 28, a group of transport workers and the truckers’ union called a general strike to demand cheaper fuel.

Over the past few days, other organizations and groups have joined the protests Some areas close schools The resort to online teaching as a result of barriers and strike lines.

Before becoming president, Castillo was a union leader and teacher at a small school in the rural Cajamarca region that called for better wages and working conditions.

Now his primary constituency, the urban working class on the outskirts of Lima and rural farmers across the country, are particularly hard hit by the inflationary spiral, because they pay higher prices for their food and transportation.

This further erodes his political support. According to the Institute of Peruvian Studiesan independent polling station in Lima, the president’s popularity is at its lowest since taking office, with less than one in four in Peru supporting his actions.

Demonstrators protest against the government of Peruvian President Pedro Castillo in Lima on Tuesday.

what happened after that?

It is difficult to predict how the situation will develop. Even before the curfew order was issued, Castillo had already made some concessions to protesters by slashing fuel taxes and increasing the minimum wage to 1,025 sola — about $280 — on Sunday. But that also failed to calm the streets.

After the curfew backfired, the president appears to be running out of options, given that Peru does not have the ability to control international oil prices. As the conflict in Ukraine continues, the current inflationary climate is expected to continue.

Any additional support to lower fuel prices would increase Peru’s debt and increase its financial hardship.

However, Peru’s situation is far from unique, and Castillo is not alone.

Other leaders face the same hard choices about how to deal with rising inflation as they try to put their finances in order after the chaos caused by Covid-19.

As the crisis deepens, Peru could find itself looking to other countries for answers.

Correction: This story has been corrected to reflect that only one president in Peru has been impeached and removed from office in the past five years.

CNN’s Claudia Ribaza, CNN’s Jimena de la Quintana in Lima, Florence Trucco’s Atlanta, and Jorge Ingels’ London contributed reports.